Jonathan Marchessault vs Jordan Staal
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +29.1% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 25.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 40.1% vs Staal 54.2% (-29.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 69.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 83.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 83.2%
16.8%
83.2%
Marchessault
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Marchessault
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Marchessault
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
25.4% (63)
57.0% (1,017)
-31.6%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
57.7% (26)
-32.7%
On power play, Staal has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Marchessault is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Marchessault shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Staal
Home
30.0% (30)
54.3% (667)
Away
21.6% (37)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Marchessault
Staal
P1
15.6%
56.2%
P2
34.6%
57.0%
P3
33.3%
49.7%
Final 5 min
28.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
25.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |