Jonathan Marchessault vs Jordan Staal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +21.6% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.9% vs Staal 54.6% (-21.6%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 62.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Marchessault
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
30.0% (30)
56.1% (955)
-26.1%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
66.9% (142)
-0.2%
On even strength, Staal has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Marchessault is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Marchessault shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Staal
Home
33.3% (21)
55.4% (663)
Away
33.3% (12)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Marchessault
Staal
P1
45.5%
55.1%
P2
25.0%
54.7%
P3
22.2%
53.9%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
14.3%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
33.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%