Jonathan Marchessault vs Lars Eller
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +23.6% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.9% vs Eller 55.7% (-23.6%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 67.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 82.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Marchessault
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
30.0% (30)
56.5% (434)
-26.5%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
77.8% (9)
-11.1%
On even strength, Eller has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Marchessault is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Marchessault shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Eller
Home
33.3% (21)
53.1% (211)
Away
33.3% (12)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Marchessault
Eller
P1
45.5%
55.4%
P2
25.0%
58.1%
P3
22.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
14.3%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
33.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%