Jonathan Marchessault vs Lars Eller
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Marchessault wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 42.2% vs Eller 50.5% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 85.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 91.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Marchessault
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Marchessault
Eller
Last 8: Marchessault 4-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
2
0
Marchessault
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
3
Marchessault
Eller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Marchessault
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (1,437)
51.1% (10,296)
-9.8%
Power Play
44.3% (264)
52.8% (621)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
46.7% (1,751)
-2.3%
On even strength, Eller has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Marchessault is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,121).
Marchessault shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Eller
Home
42.5% (888)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
41.0% (822)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Marchessault
Eller
P1
43.1%
51.2%
P2
42.1%
50.1%
P3
39.9%
50.2%
OT
42.3%
56.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
41.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 09:29 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |