Jonathan Marchessault vs Mikael Backlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +23.0% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 25.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 40.1% vs Backlund 48.5% (-23.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 78.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 80.2%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 55.7%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Marchessault
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Marchessault
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Marchessault
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
25.4% (63)
50.4% (1,032)
-25.0%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
52.3% (107)
-27.3%
On power play, Backlund has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Marchessault is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Marchessault shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Backlund
Home
30.0% (30)
48.7% (749)
Away
21.6% (37)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Marchessault
Backlund
P1
15.6%
50.4%
P2
34.6%
50.1%
P3
33.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
28.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
25.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |