Jonathan Marchessault vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.9% vs Backlund 49.7% (-16.4%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 83.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 83.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Marchessault
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
30.0% (30)
50.1% (891)
-20.1%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
53.1% (64)
+13.6%
On even strength, Backlund has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Marchessault is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Marchessault shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Backlund
Home
33.3% (21)
48.1% (580)
Away
33.3% (12)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Marchessault
Backlund
P1
45.5%
45.1%
P2
25.0%
54.7%
P3
22.2%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
14.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
33.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%