Jonathan Marchessault vs Nick Schmaltz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.8% vs 42.3%). Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Marchessault wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 42.2% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 50.1%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 61.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 50.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Marchessault
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Marchessault
Schmaltz
Last 7: Marchessault 4-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
2
Marchessault
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
2
1
Marchessault
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marchessault
1
0
Marchessault
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (1,437)
41.2% (3,399)
+0.1%
Power Play
44.3% (264)
47.1% (649)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
47.8% (134)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Marchessault is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (589).
Marchessault shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Schmaltz
Home
42.5% (888)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
41.0% (822)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Marchessault
Schmaltz
P1
43.1%
41.1%
P2
42.1%
42.9%
P3
39.9%
43.0%
OT
42.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
41.8%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 11:29 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |