Jonathan Marchessault vs Nick Schmaltz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 46.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 49.6% vs Schmaltz 47.1% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 68.4%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 52.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 55.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Marchessault
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (16)
46.5% (484)
-2.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
47.5% (99)
+19.2%
On power play, Marchessault has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Marchessault is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Marchessault shoots right. Schmaltz is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Schmaltz
Home
46.2% (13)
45.3% (298)
Away
50.0% (6)
48.0% (300)
By Period
Marchessault
Schmaltz
P1
55.6%
40.4%
P2
20.0%
46.8%
P3
50.0%
53.4%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
25.0%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
36.0%▲
34.0%
47.4%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.7%