Jonathan Marchessault vs Nick Schmaltz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.9% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (-12.8%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 63.5%
Defensive zone
Marchessault 50.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 51.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Marchessault
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
30.0% (30)
45.9% (665)
-15.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
46.8% (111)
+19.9%
On power play, Marchessault has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Marchessault is 22.2% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Marchessault shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Schmaltz
Home
33.3% (21)
44.7% (409)
Away
33.3% (12)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Marchessault
Schmaltz
P1
45.5%
40.3%
P2
25.0%
47.6%
P3
22.2%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
14.3%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
33.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%