Jonathan Marchessault vs Nick Schmaltz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.0% vs 42.2%). Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Marchessault wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 42.4% vs Schmaltz 42.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 50.2%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 58.1%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 51.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Marchessault
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Marchessault
Schmaltz
Last 7: Marchessault 4-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
2
Marchessault
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
2
1
Marchessault
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marchessault
1
0
Marchessault
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,423)
41.1% (3,218)
+0.4%
Power Play
44.3% (264)
47.3% (637)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
47.2% (125)
-2.8%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Marchessault is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (584).
Marchessault shoots right. Schmaltz is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Schmaltz
Home
42.7% (880)
42.7% (1,978)
Away
41.2% (816)
41.8% (2,002)
By Period
Marchessault
Schmaltz
P1
43.3%
41.1%
P2
42.2%
42.6%
P3
40.2%
43.0%
OT
42.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
43.9%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
36.0%▲
34.0%
42.0%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 11:29 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |