Jonathan Marchessault vs Sean Monahan
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +19.8% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.9% vs Monahan 52.8% (-19.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 61.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 82.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 70.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Marchessault
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Marchessault
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
1
0
Marchessault
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
30.0% (30)
53.2% (823)
-23.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
55.3% (159)
+11.4%
On even strength, Monahan has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Marchessault is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Marchessault shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Monahan
Home
33.3% (21)
54.6% (529)
Away
33.3% (12)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Marchessault
Monahan
P1
45.5%
49.0%
P2
25.0%
55.4%
P3
22.2%
53.6%
OT
100.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
14.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
33.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |