Jonathan Marchessault vs Sean Monahan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchessault on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Marchessault wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 42.2% vs Monahan 51.3% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Marchessault leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 76.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 96.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 91.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 87.3%
12.7%
87.3%
Marchessault
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Marchessault
Monahan
Last 10: Marchessault 9-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
5
1
Marchessault
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Marchessault
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marchessault
5
1
Marchessault
Monahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (1,437)
51.1% (11,356)
-9.8%
Power Play
44.3% (264)
53.7% (2,580)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
46.0% (766)
-1.6%
On even strength, Monahan has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Marchessault is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,121).
Marchessault shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Monahan
Home
42.5% (888)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
41.0% (822)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Marchessault
Monahan
P1
43.1%
50.9%
P2
42.1%
51.7%
P3
39.9%
51.0%
OT
42.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
41.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 05:02 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 11:15 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 14:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |