Jonathan Marchessault vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +24.3% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.9% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-24.3%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 57.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 75.5%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 50.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Marchessault
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
30.0% (30)
58.5% (135)
-28.5%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
80.0% (5)
-13.3%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Marchessault is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Marchessault shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Karlsson
Home
33.3% (21)
63.7% (91)
Away
33.3% (12)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Marchessault
Karlsson
P1
45.5%
54.4%
P2
25.0%
66.7%
P3
22.2%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
14.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
33.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%