Who wins more faceoffs, Jonathan Marchessault or William Karlsson?

William Karlsson leads the head-to-head 4-2 across 6 faceoffs.

What is Jonathan Marchessault's faceoff record against William Karlsson?

Jonathan Marchessault is 2-4 against William Karlsson in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 2-0, Defensive 0-1, Neutral 0-3.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Jonathan Marchessault or William Karlsson?

Jonathan Marchessault is the predicted winner with a 66.9% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Jonathan Marchessault vs William Karlsson

Jonathan MarchessaultR vs William KarlssonL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

William Karlsson holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Marchessault wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Marchessault 42.2% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-9.5%)

H2H factor Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Marchessault 86.5%

Defensive zone Karlsson 75.9%

Neutral zone Marchessault 68.1%

Result Jonathan Marchessault favored at 66.9%

66.9%

33.1%

Marchessault Karlsson

Head-to-Head Record

2 - 4 (6 meetings)

Marchessault Karlsson

Last 6: Marchessault 2-4 Karlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Marchessault

Marchessault Karlsson

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Karlsson

Marchessault Karlsson

1 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Karlsson

Marchessault Karlsson

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Marchessault

Karlsson

Edge

Even Strength

41.3% (1,437)

51.8% (7,849)

-10.5%

Power Play

44.3% (264)

54.8% (1,048)

-10.5%

Penalty Kill

44.4% (9)

44.2% (1,109)

+0.2%

On even strength, Karlsson has a +10.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Karlsson shoots left. Marchessault is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,121).

Marchessault shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).

Home / Away

Marchessault

Karlsson

Home

42.5% (888)

52.0% (5,090)

Away

41.0% (822)

50.5% (4,916)

By Period

Marchessault

Karlsson

43.1%

50.3%

42.1%

51.3%

39.9%

52.4%

42.3%

44.9%

Final 5 min

43.6%

51.5%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Marchessault

32.0%▬

32.0%

41.8%

Karlsson

64.0%▲

57.5%

51.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 16, 2017	2	06:41	Defensive	William Karlsson
Mar 16, 2017	2	02:04	Offensive	Jonathan Marchessault
Jan 14, 2017	2	19:58	Neutral	William Karlsson
Jan 14, 2017	2	07:00	Neutral	William Karlsson
Nov 26, 2016	2	03:57	Offensive	Jonathan Marchessault
Dec 26, 2015	2	06:53	Neutral	William Karlsson

Marchessault's Profile | Karlsson's Profile