Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Kempe wins 34.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 44.0% vs Toews 56.8% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 51.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 54.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 59.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Kempe
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Kempe
Toews
Last 10: Kempe 5-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
4
2
Kempe
Toews
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Kempe
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Kempe
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (201)
55.9% (1,014)
-17.6%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
62.8% (301)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
55.9% (179)
-5.9%
On power play, Kempe has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Kempe is 34.3% vs left-shot opponents (140).
Kempe shoots left. Toews is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (903).
Home / Away
Kempe
Toews
Home
39.2% (102)
56.6% (709)
Away
43.0% (121)
58.0% (785)
By Period
Kempe
Toews
P1
35.9%
60.4%
P2
37.2%
57.6%
P3
50.0%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
59.4%
Final 5 min
40.8%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
41.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 04:29 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |