Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.8% vs Toews 56.0% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 70.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 75.7%
Neutral zone
Tierney 72.7%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Tierney
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Tierney
Toews
Last 6: Tierney 1-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Tierney
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Tierney
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (844)
56.5% (1,310)
-4.4%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
59.7% (325)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
51.0% (245)
-8.3%
On power play, Toews has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Tierney is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Tierney shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Tierney
Toews
Home
51.2% (521)
56.6% (927)
Away
50.6% (522)
56.0% (953)
By Period
Tierney
Toews
P1
49.3%
56.3%
P2
50.4%
55.8%
P3
53.4%
57.3%
OT
0.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
42.5%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |