Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Haula wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.4% vs Toews 54.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 54.5%
Defensive zone
Haula 65.9%
Neutral zone
Haula 62.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Haula
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Haula
Toews
Last 10: Haula 1-9 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Haula
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Haula
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
7
Haula
Toews
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (684)
54.8% (1,153)
+0.2%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
58.8% (233)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (49)
50.0% (166)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Haula is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Haula shoots left. Toews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Haula
Toews
Home
55.2% (355)
58.7% (784)
Away
52.7% (395)
51.0% (768)
By Period
Haula
Toews
P1
53.2%
54.0%
P2
54.7%
57.4%
P3
54.4%
52.6%
OT
20.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
55.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 8, 2017 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 8, 2017 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |