Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.5% vs Toews 57.5% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 79.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 78.0%
Neutral zone
Haula 76.8%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Haula
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Haula
Toews
Last 8: Haula 1-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
4
Haula
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Haula
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (845)
58.4% (1,115)
-8.5%
Power Play
58.3% (96)
61.3% (256)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
50.5% (182)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Haula is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Haula shoots left. Toews is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Home / Away
Haula
Toews
Home
52.8% (434)
59.5% (783)
Away
48.7% (534)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Haula
Toews
P1
52.4%
58.4%
P2
45.9%
59.4%
P3
53.8%
55.9%
OT
28.6%
61.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |