Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 47.2% vs Toews 56.0% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 83.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 95.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 91.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 88.5%
11.5%
88.5%
Eichel
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Eichel
Toews
Last 9: Eichel 8-1 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
0
Eichel
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
1
Eichel
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (1,023)
56.5% (1,310)
-10.9%
Power Play
55.8% (197)
59.7% (325)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (50)
51.0% (245)
-9.0%
On even strength, Toews has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Eichel is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Eichel shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Eichel
Toews
Home
45.4% (604)
56.6% (927)
Away
48.5% (666)
56.0% (953)
By Period
Eichel
Toews
P1
48.3%
56.3%
P2
49.6%
55.8%
P3
43.8%
57.3%
OT
45.9%
48.6%
Final 5 min
48.4%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2019 | OT | 04:47 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 7, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |