Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 50.7% vs Toews 58.6% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 71.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 64.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 67.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Carter
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Carter
Toews
Last 10: Carter 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Carter
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
5
Carter
Toews
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (565)
58.5% (775)
-7.5%
Power Play
50.0% (188)
64.9% (225)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
55.8% (120)
-5.8%
On power play, Toews has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (509).
Carter shoots right. Toews is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Carter
Toews
Home
52.3% (421)
63.0% (567)
Away
49.0% (353)
55.8% (570)
By Period
Carter
Toews
P1
55.4%
59.6%
P2
49.1%
58.2%
P3
47.6%
60.7%
OT
58.8%
52.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
50.8%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 03:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 18:08 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 06:49 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |