Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 51.6% vs Toews 56.0% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 77.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 95.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 66.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Skinner
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Skinner
Toews
Last 5: Skinner 3-2 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
3
0
Skinner
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Skinner
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (200)
56.5% (1,310)
-9.0%
Power Play
62.0% (100)
59.7% (325)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.0% (245)
-51.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Skinner is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Skinner shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Skinner
Toews
Home
58.9% (158)
56.6% (927)
Away
44.8% (143)
56.0% (953)
By Period
Skinner
Toews
P1
49.0%
56.3%
P2
47.4%
55.8%
P3
59.6%
57.3%
OT
50.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
54.1%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
52.2%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 10:22 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |