Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Toews wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Staal 54.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 17-5 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 92.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 52.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 69.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Toews
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
5
(22 meetings)
17
5
Toews
Staal
Last 10: Toews 8-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
8
1
Toews
Staal
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Toews
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
7
1
Toews
Staal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,014)
54.2% (943)
+1.7%
Power Play
62.8% (301)
69.6% (79)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (179)
50.8% (262)
+5.1%
On power play, Staal has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Toews is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (903).
Toews shoots left. Staal is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Toews
Staal
Home
56.6% (709)
55.0% (593)
Away
58.0% (785)
54.0% (691)
By Period
Toews
Staal
P1
60.4%
54.3%
P2
57.6%
53.5%
P3
54.3%
55.2%
OT
59.4%
58.6%
Final 5 min
58.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |