Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Staal 56.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 67.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 67.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Toews
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Toews
Staal
Last 10: Toews 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
4
Toews
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
5
Toews
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
58.9% (1,041)
-0.9%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
53.4% (73)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
49.1% (171)
+2.6%
On power play, Toews has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Toews
Staal
Home
59.3% (637)
59.0% (578)
Away
58.7% (699)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Toews
Staal
P1
61.5%
57.1%
P2
55.2%
60.9%
P3
60.0%
55.8%
OT
70.6%
20.8%
Final 5 min
57.9%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 19:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |