Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Staal 55.3% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 94.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 74.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 85.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Toews
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Toews
Staal
Last 9: Toews 8-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
1
Toews
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
56.3% (1,115)
+4.8%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
61.2% (67)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
52.1% (292)
+7.5%
On power play, Toews has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Toews
Staal
Home
64.8% (560)
58.3% (705)
Away
60.6% (381)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Toews
Staal
P1
62.3%
54.5%
P2
63.9%
58.2%
P3
62.8%
54.1%
OT
70.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |