Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.5% vs Eller 49.3% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 94.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 73.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 89.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Toews
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
Eller
Last 6: Toews 5-1 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Toews
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,115)
50.1% (749)
+8.3%
Power Play
61.3% (256)
46.1% (76)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (182)
46.6% (131)
+3.9%
On power play, Toews has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Toews is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Toews shoots left. Eller is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Toews
Eller
Home
59.5% (783)
51.4% (465)
Away
56.4% (770)
47.3% (491)
By Period
Toews
Eller
P1
58.4%
47.9%
P2
59.4%
51.6%
P3
55.9%
47.7%
OT
61.1%
62.5%
Final 5 min
58.9%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 15:36 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |