Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Eller 49.5% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 85.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 72.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 80.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Toews
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Toews
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
51.1% (786)
+6.9%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
45.0% (80)
+24.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
43.6% (165)
+8.1%
On power play, Toews has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Toews
Eller
Home
59.3% (637)
51.2% (510)
Away
58.7% (699)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Toews
Eller
P1
61.5%
50.7%
P2
55.2%
49.0%
P3
60.0%
48.3%
OT
70.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
57.9%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2021 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Lars Eller |