Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Eller 55.7% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Toews 70.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 72.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Toews
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
56.5% (434)
+6.0%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
77.8% (9)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
56.5% (46)
-9.6%
On power play, Eller has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Toews shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Toews
Eller
Home
60.9% (435)
53.1% (211)
Away
62.0% (434)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Toews
Eller
P1
59.8%
55.4%
P2
65.7%
58.1%
P3
58.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
58.3%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%