Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 67.3%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 53.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 61.0%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Toews
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Toews
Draisaitl
Last 10: Toews 5-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
5
Toews
Draisaitl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Draisaitl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
2
Toews
Draisaitl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
52.6% (1,124)
+5.4%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
58.4% (344)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
49.2% (193)
+2.5%
On power play, Toews has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Toews
Draisaitl
Home
59.3% (637)
55.5% (816)
Away
58.7% (699)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Toews
Draisaitl
P1
61.5%
51.1%
P2
55.2%
51.6%
P3
60.0%
56.9%
OT
70.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:15 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |