Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 55.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 62.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 53.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Toews
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Toews
Draisaitl
Last 10: Toews 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
3
Toews
Draisaitl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Toews
Draisaitl
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
52.4% (974)
+8.7%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
59.5% (373)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
61.0% (123)
-1.4%
On power play, Toews has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Toews
Draisaitl
Home
64.8% (560)
54.5% (778)
Away
60.6% (381)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Toews
Draisaitl
P1
62.3%
54.6%
P2
63.9%
56.1%
P3
62.8%
53.3%
OT
70.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |