Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +20.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Beniers 42.9% (+20.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 95.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 95.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 95.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 95.3%
95.3%
4.7%
Toews
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Toews
Beniers
Last 8: Toews 7-1 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
1
Toews
Beniers
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Beniers
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
42.3% (879)
+18.8%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
40.3% (72)
+31.6%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
44.4% (18)
+15.2%
On power play, Toews has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Toews
Beniers
Home
64.8% (560)
43.8% (495)
Away
60.6% (381)
40.5% (474)
By Period
Toews
Beniers
P1
62.3%
43.3%
P2
63.9%
45.6%
P3
62.8%
38.2%
OT
70.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
60.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 07:31 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |