Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Beniers 49.4% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 50.1%
Defensive zone
Beniers 57.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 58.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Toews
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Toews
Beniers
Last 6: Toews 3-3 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Beniers
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
2
Toews
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
48.9% (833)
+13.6%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
58.3% (36)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
50.0% (32)
-3.1%
On even strength, Toews has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Toews shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Toews
Beniers
Home
60.9% (435)
52.4% (460)
Away
62.0% (434)
46.0% (441)
By Period
Toews
Beniers
P1
59.8%
48.4%
P2
65.7%
51.1%
P3
58.8%
47.8%
OT
80.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |