Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 59.8% vs Beniers 49.2% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 52.3%
Defensive zone
Beniers 52.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 50.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Toews
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Toews
Beniers
Last 6: Toews 3-3 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Beniers
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
2
Toews
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
63.4% (555)
48.8% (647)
+14.6%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
53.8% (26)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
50.0% (32)
-3.3%
On even strength, Toews has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Toews shoots left. Beniers is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Toews
Beniers
Home
59.6% (329)
52.7% (357)
Away
62.7% (365)
45.4% (348)
By Period
Toews
Beniers
P1
62.2%
47.9%
P2
64.7%
51.9%
P3
56.8%
46.8%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
61.2%
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |