Jonathan Toews vs Mikael Backlund
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Backlund 50.8% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 62.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 70.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 73.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Toews
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Toews
Backlund
Last 8: Toews 3-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Toews
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Toews
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
51.9% (1,083)
+9.2%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
51.7% (120)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
44.3% (183)
+15.3%
On power play, Toews has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Toews
Backlund
Home
64.8% (560)
51.9% (673)
Away
60.6% (381)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Toews
Backlund
P1
62.3%
51.4%
P2
63.9%
50.5%
P3
62.8%
51.4%
OT
70.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |