Jonathan Toews vs Mikael Backlund

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jonathan Toews holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Toews 60.3% vs Backlund 49.7% (+11.7%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Toews 88.1%
Defensive zone Backlund 68.3%
Neutral zone Toews 65.8%
Result Jonathan Toews favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Toews Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 4 (9 meetings)
5
4
Toews Backlund
Last 9: Toews 5-4 Backlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
0
Toews Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Toews Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toews Backlund
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Toews
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
50.1% (891)
+12.4%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
53.1% (64)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
47.8% (278)
-0.9%
On even strength, Toews has a +12.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Toews shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Toews
Backlund
Home
60.9% (435)
48.1% (580)
Away
62.0% (434)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Toews
Backlund
P1
59.8%
45.1%
P2
65.7%
54.7%
P3
58.8%
49.0%
OT
80.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
58.3%
47.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%
61.0%
61.4%
Backlund
52.0%
48.0%
49.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 15, 2025 3 19:52 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Nov 15, 2025 1 18:58 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Oct 24, 2025 3 11:30 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Oct 24, 2025 2 08:30 Offensive Jonathan Toews
Oct 24, 2025 1 09:33 Offensive Jonathan Toews
Oct 24, 2025 1 03:24 Offensive Jonathan Toews
Oct 20, 2025 3 05:44 Offensive Jonathan Toews
Oct 20, 2025 3 02:17 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Oct 20, 2025 2 07:31 Neutral Jonathan Toews