Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Rantanen 47.1% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 81.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 72.9%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 58.5%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Toews
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Toews
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Toews
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
46.3% (309)
+11.7%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
51.3% (39)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
16.7% (6)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Rantanen is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Toews
Rantanen
Home
59.3% (637)
51.8% (197)
Away
58.7% (699)
39.5% (157)
By Period
Toews
Rantanen
P1
61.5%
47.2%
P2
55.2%
44.8%
P3
60.0%
46.9%
OT
70.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |