Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Frost 46.2% (+17.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 70.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 78.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 66.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Toews
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Toews
Frost
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
2
Toews
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Toews
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
4
2
Toews
Frost
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
45.6% (833)
+15.5%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
46.0% (100)
+25.9%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
55.6% (18)
+4.0%
On power play, Toews has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Toews
Frost
Home
64.8% (560)
47.0% (440)
Away
60.6% (381)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Toews
Frost
P1
62.3%
42.5%
P2
63.9%
47.9%
P3
62.8%
46.6%
OT
70.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | OT | 02:13 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 08:40 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |