Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.0% vs Frost 56.2% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 67.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 90.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 88.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Toews
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Toews
Frost
Last 10: Toews 8-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
3
Toews
Frost
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
0
Toews
Frost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
62.7% (824)
55.5% (848)
+7.2%
Power Play
61.9% (168)
60.6% (198)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
83.3% (12)
-36.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +36.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Toews is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Toews shoots left. Frost is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (712).
Home / Away
Toews
Frost
Home
61.9% (512)
57.2% (544)
Away
62.3% (514)
56.4% (514)
By Period
Toews
Frost
P1
58.6%
59.5%
P2
67.2%
57.1%
P3
60.2%
53.6%
OT
80.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
58.6%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
68.0%▲
64.5%
62.1%
Frost
58.0%▬
59.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 00:55 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |