Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Kadri 47.7% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 69.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 89.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 79.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Toews
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Toews
Kadri
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
Toews
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
0
Toews
Kadri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
46.2% (1,005)
+14.9%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
57.3% (199)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
26.7% (30)
+32.9%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
Toews
Kadri
Home
64.8% (560)
47.4% (641)
Away
60.6% (381)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Toews
Kadri
P1
62.3%
46.9%
P2
63.9%
49.5%
P3
62.8%
46.2%
OT
70.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
60.9%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |