Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 40 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Kadri 48.7% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 66-55 in 121 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 72.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 74.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 72.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Toews
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
66
-
55
(121 meetings)
66
55
Toews
Kadri
Last 10: Toews 9-1 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
19
24
Toews
Kadri
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
22
16
Toews
Kadri
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
25
15
Toews
Kadri
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
48.2% (12,510)
+9.0%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
53.0% (1,892)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
41.0% (293)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Home / Away
Toews
Kadri
Home
59.7% (9,192)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Toews
Kadri
P1
58.6%
49.2%
P2
57.8%
48.8%
P3
57.3%
48.0%
OT
58.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 14:10 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |