Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 71.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Dowd 49.1% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 94.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 58.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 84.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Toews
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Toews
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
51.7% (644)
+10.8%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
0.0% (2)
+59.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
41.6% (221)
+5.3%
On power play, Toews has a +59.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Toews shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Toews
Dowd
Home
60.9% (435)
48.6% (451)
Away
62.0% (434)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Toews
Dowd
P1
59.8%
49.1%
P2
65.7%
47.3%
P3
58.8%
51.4%
OT
80.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |