Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Dowd 50.7% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 97.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 52.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 82.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 97.3%
97.3%
2.7%
Toews
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Toews
Dowd
Last 5: Toews 5-0 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
0
Toews
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
55.2% (625)
+5.9%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
57.1% (7)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
38.2% (220)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Toews
Dowd
Home
64.8% (560)
53.7% (445)
Away
60.6% (381)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Toews
Dowd
P1
62.3%
48.8%
P2
63.9%
49.3%
P3
62.8%
54.0%
OT
70.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
60.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |