Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Dowd 49.8% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 84.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 58.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 56.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Toews
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Toews
Dowd
Last 5: Toews 3-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Toews
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,014)
50.7% (379)
+5.2%
Power Play
62.8% (301)
64.3% (14)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (179)
46.5% (157)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Toews is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (591).
Toews shoots left. Dowd is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Toews
Dowd
Home
56.6% (709)
53.7% (244)
Away
58.0% (785)
46.6% (307)
By Period
Toews
Dowd
P1
60.4%
53.6%
P2
57.6%
44.1%
P3
54.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
58.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |