Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Bonino 51.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 60.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 60.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 56.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Toews
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Toews
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
51.7% (777)
+6.3%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
60.0% (50)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
43.9% (98)
+7.8%
On power play, Toews has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Toews
Bonino
Home
59.3% (637)
48.2% (461)
Away
58.7% (699)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Toews
Bonino
P1
61.5%
54.1%
P2
55.2%
49.7%
P3
60.0%
50.7%
OT
70.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |