Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 35 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Bonino 50.0% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 54-31 in 85 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 98.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 83.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 95.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
Toews
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
54
-
31
(85 meetings)
54
31
Toews
Bonino
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
26
9
Toews
Bonino
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
12
15
Toews
Bonino
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
16
7
Toews
Bonino
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
50.6% (8,315)
+6.6%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
54.1% (972)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
44.6% (1,693)
+9.0%
On power play, Toews has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Toews
Bonino
Home
59.7% (9,192)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Toews
Bonino
P1
58.6%
50.6%
P2
57.8%
48.5%
P3
57.3%
51.1%
OT
58.9%
45.7%
Final 5 min
58.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |