Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Acciari 53.3% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 92.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 59.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 80.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Toews
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Toews
Acciari
Last 7: Toews 5-2 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
54.5% (532)
+6.6%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
62.5% (8)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
48.8% (86)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Toews
Acciari
Home
64.8% (560)
56.2% (281)
Away
60.6% (381)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Toews
Acciari
P1
62.3%
53.4%
P2
63.9%
57.1%
P3
62.8%
51.4%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |