Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 71.8% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Acciari 51.2% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 94.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 62.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 85.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 92.2%
92.2%
7.8%
Toews
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Toews
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Toews
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
53.0% (285)
+9.5%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
31.3% (16)
+28.3%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
50.8% (183)
-3.9%
On power play, Toews has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Toews shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Toews
Acciari
Home
60.9% (435)
53.2% (267)
Away
62.0% (434)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Toews
Acciari
P1
59.8%
53.1%
P2
65.7%
51.1%
P3
58.8%
50.6%
OT
80.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |