Jonathan Toews vs Oliver Kapanen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Kapanen 47.5% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 93.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 91.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 91.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 93.1%
93.1%
6.9%
Toews
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
Kapanen
Last 6: Toews 5-1 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
1
Toews
Kapanen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
47.2% (559)
+10.0%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
51.0% (51)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
39.5% (38)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Toews shoots left. Kapanen is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Toews
Kapanen
Home
59.7% (9,192)
47.1% (340)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
47.1% (308)
By Period
Toews
Kapanen
P1
58.6%
42.7%
P2
57.8%
50.2%
P3
57.3%
48.2%
OT
58.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |