Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.0% vs Stastny 54.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 63.1%
Defensive zone
Stastny 62.7%
Neutral zone
Stastny 63.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Toews
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Toews
Stastny
Last 6: Toews 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Toews
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,310)
52.8% (657)
+3.7%
Power Play
59.7% (325)
61.0% (118)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (245)
61.1% (72)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Toews shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Toews
Stastny
Home
56.6% (927)
53.0% (464)
Away
56.0% (953)
56.7% (383)
By Period
Toews
Stastny
P1
56.3%
47.9%
P2
55.8%
59.6%
P3
57.3%
54.9%
OT
48.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |