Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Faksa 53.2% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 64.9%
Defensive zone
Faksa 89.7%
Neutral zone
Faksa 70.9%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 82.7%
17.3%
82.7%
Toews
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Toews
Faksa
Last 8: Toews 3-5 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
2
3
Toews
Faksa
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
2
Toews
Faksa
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
56.4% (289)
+6.1%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
0.0% (2)
+59.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
49.2% (126)
-2.3%
On power play, Toews has a +59.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Toews shoots left. Faksa is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Toews
Faksa
Home
60.9% (435)
54.9% (182)
Away
62.0% (434)
53.2% (235)
By Period
Toews
Faksa
P1
59.8%
61.1%
P2
65.7%
51.3%
P3
58.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 15:13 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:07 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |