Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 44 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Faksa 52.4% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Faksa leads 61-52 in 113 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 60.6%
Defensive zone
Faksa 88.1%
Neutral zone
Faksa 68.7%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Toews
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
61
(113 meetings)
52
61
Toews
Faksa
Last 10: Toews 4-6 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
19
11
Toews
Faksa
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
12
32
Toews
Faksa
44 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
21
18
Toews
Faksa
39 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
52.8% (6,681)
+4.4%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
57.7% (291)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
49.3% (1,372)
+4.3%
On power play, Toews has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. Faksa is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Home / Away
Toews
Faksa
Home
59.7% (9,192)
52.9% (4,092)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
51.9% (4,252)
By Period
Toews
Faksa
P1
58.6%
53.0%
P2
57.8%
52.5%
P3
57.3%
52.0%
OT
58.9%
45.3%
Final 5 min
58.2%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 15:13 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:07 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 18:04 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 16:45 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |