Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.0% vs Thomas 45.9% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 66.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 53.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 63.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Toews
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Toews
Thomas
Last 5: Toews 2-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Toews
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,310)
42.9% (196)
+13.6%
Power Play
59.7% (325)
56.5% (23)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (245)
0.0% (1)
+51.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (662).
Toews shoots left. Thomas is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Toews
Thomas
Home
56.6% (927)
43.6% (133)
Away
56.0% (953)
44.8% (87)
By Period
Toews
Thomas
P1
56.3%
45.9%
P2
55.8%
45.9%
P3
57.3%
40.0%
OT
48.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2018 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 17:35 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |