Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Thomas 52.7% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 83.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 86.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 80.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Toews
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Toews
Thomas
Last 10: Toews 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
1
Toews
Thomas
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
5
4
Toews
Thomas
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
53.6% (924)
+7.5%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
55.2% (181)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
44.0% (116)
+15.6%
On power play, Toews has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Toews
Thomas
Home
64.8% (560)
53.6% (606)
Away
60.6% (381)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Toews
Thomas
P1
62.3%
48.2%
P2
63.9%
55.3%
P3
62.8%
55.2%
OT
70.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
60.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:12 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |